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Australia's largest carbon emitter to exit coal by 2035

AGL said it would shutter one of Australia's biggest carbon emitters, the Loy Yang A Power Station in Victoria's Latrobe Valley, by mid-2035

Australia’s biggest carbon polluter announced Thursday it will exit coal-fired power a decade early, as renewable projects surge in a country long seen as a climate laggard.

AGL said it would shutter one of Australia’s biggest carbon emitters, the Loy Yang A Power Station in Victoria’s Latrobe Valley, by mid-2035, a decade earlier than previously targeted.

Its closure would complete AGL’s exit from all coal-fired power, the company said.

“This represents one of the most significant decarbonisation initiatives in Australia,” said AGL chair Patricia McKenzie.

This week, Queensland said it would build one of the world’s largest pumped hydroelectric energy storage schemes and Victoria’s government pledged to build enough renewable energy storage for half of the state’s homes by 2035.

AGL is Australia’s largest energy provider and owns three of the country’s biggest coal-fired power stations.

The company has faced intense pressure in the past year from environmental groups and shareholder activists pushing for a faster transition away from coal.

AGL also confirmed Thursday that its largest coal-fired power station — Bayswater in New South Wales — remains on track to close before 2033.

Once the brown coal-burning Loy Yang A is closed in 2035, the company would be net zero for direct and indirect carbon emissions, McKenzie said.

– Turmoil to transition –

AGL’s incoming interim chief executive Damien Nicks said the closures were “a major step forward in Australia’s decarbonisation journey”.

Nicks acknowledged “mounting pressure” from banks and investors for AGL to go green during a market update Thursday.

The announcement marks a major shift for AGL, which has previously dug in against attempts by its largest shareholder, billionaire green activist Mike Cannon-Brookes, to decarbonise.

Earlier this year, Cannon-Brookes tried to buy the company for about US$6 billion — an offer AGL rejected as “well below the fair value of the company”.

But two months later, the energy giant abruptly announced the departure of its chairman Peter Botten, chief executive Graeme Hunt and a string of board members.

It also scrapped a long-planned move to spin off its lucrative but highly-polluting coal business, a “demerger” strongly criticised by Cannon-Brookes and Greenpeace.

“We have listened to our stakeholders… as well as government and energy regulatory authorities,” McKenzie said.

– States lead to net zero –

The Australian state of Queensland unveiled on Wednesday its plans to build one of the world’s largest pumped hydroelectric energy storage schemes.

The project sits at the centre of a plan to get Queensland — one of Australia’s fossil fuel heartlands — to 80 percent renewable energy by 2035.

“We know that Queenslanders understand climate change. Today, government understands that we need to take action,” Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk said.

The state of Victoria also announced this week that it would target 6.3 gigawatts of renewable storage by 2035 — enough to power half of its homes.

Both signal a major energy transition for Australia, where 71 percent of electricity is generated by fossil fuels — 51 percent of that from coal — according to government figures.

The country currently has the highest per capita coal emissions in the world, according to research by think tank Ember that was published in May.

— Anchors away —

Energy expert Greg Bourne, former President of BP Australasia, told AFP he believed that “many companies have had in the top drawer the plans they need to go forward and decarbonise”.

He said companies were now pulling out these plans because of two key factors: Australia’s change of government and the new market reality that “coal is not a commercially viable industry any longer”.

“We been walking along with a dragging anchor,” said Bourne, who serves as a member of Australia’s Climate Council. “That anchor has been dropped now, the acceleration is really on.”

He said he expected more announcements akin to AGL’s decarbonisation plan in the coming months, although it is “far too early to say” how this week’s news could filter in Australia’s national emissions.

Hurricane Ian pounds Florida as a monster storm

Gusts from Hurricane Ian whip palm treets in Punta Gorda, Florida

Hurricane Ian plunged much of coastal southwest Florida into darkness Wednesday, as the monster storm brought “catastrophic” storm surges, wind and flooding that had officials readying a huge emergency response.

The US Border Patrol said 20 migrants were missing after their boat sank, with four Cubans swimming to shore in the Florida Keys islands and three rescued at sea by the coast guard.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said the eye of the “extremely dangerous” hurricane made landfall just after 3:00 pm (1900 GMT) on the barrier island of Cayo Costa, west of the city of Fort Myers.

Dramatic television footage from the coastal city of Naples showed floodwaters surging into beachfront homes, submerging roads and sweeping away vehicles.

Some neighborhoods in Fort Myers, which has a population of more than 80,000, resembled lakes.

The NHC said Ian was packing maximum sustained winds of 150 miles (240 kilometers) per hour when it landed. 

It later weakened to a Category 1 hurricane with winds of 90 miles per hour, while still battering Florida with “storm surge, winds and flooding,” the NHC said at around 11:00 pm local time Wednesday (0300 GMT).

More than two million customers were without electricity in Florida on Wednesday evening, out of a total of more than 11 million, with southwestern areas of the state the hardest hit, according to the PowerOutage.us tracking website.

Ian is set to affect several million people across Florida and in the southeastern states of Georgia and South Carolina.

As hurricane conditions spread, forecasters warned of a once-in-a-generation calamity.

“This is going to be a storm we talk about for many years to come,” said National Weather Service director Ken Graham. “It’s a historic event.”

Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis said the state was going to experience a “nasty, nasty day, two days.”

– ‘Life-threatening’ –

The town of Punta Gorda, north of Fort Myers, was in near-total darkness as the storm wiped out power, save for the lucky few buildings with generators.

Howling winds ripped branches off trees and pulled chunks out of roofs.

About 2.5 million people were under mandatory evacuation orders in a dozen coastal Florida counties, with several dozen shelters set up, and voluntary evacuation recommended in others.

For those who decided to ride out the storm, authorities stressed it was too late to flee and residents should hunker down and stay indoors.

Airports in Tampa and Orlando stopped all commercial flights, and cruise ship companies delayed departures or canceled voyages.

With up to 30 inches (76 centimeters) of rain expected to fall on parts of the so-called Sunshine State, and a storm surge that could reach devastating levels of 12 to 18 feet (3.6 to 5.5 meters), authorities were warning of dire emergency conditions.

“This is a life-threatening situation,” the NHC warned.

The storm was set to move across central Florida before emerging in the Atlantic Ocean by late Thursday.

– ‘Nothing is left here’ –

Ian had plunged all of Cuba into darkness a day earlier, after battering the country’s west as a Category 3 storm and downing the island’s power network.

“Desolation and destruction. These are terrifying hours. Nothing is left here,” a 70-year-old resident of the western city of Pinar del Rio was quoted as saying in a social media post by his journalist son, Lazaro Manuel Alonso.

At least two people died in Pinar del Rio province, Cuban state media reported.

In the United States, the Pentagon said 3,200 national guard personnel were called up in Florida, with another 1,800 on the way.

DeSantis said state and federal responders were assigning thousands of personnel to address the storm response.

“There will be thousands of Floridians who will need help rebuilding,” he said.

As climate change warms the ocean’s surface, the number of powerful tropical storms, or cyclones, with stronger winds and more precipitation is likely to increase.

The total number of cyclones, however, may not.

According to Gary Lackmann, a professor of atmospheric science at North Carolina State University, studies have also detected a potential link between climate change and rapid intensification — when a relatively weak tropical storm surges to a Category 3 hurricane or higher in a 24-hour period, as happened with Ian.

“There remains a consensus that there will be fewer storms, but that the strongest will get stronger,” Lackmann told AFP.

Receding ice leaves Canada's polar bears at rising risk

Every year starting in late June, polar bears move to the shores of the Hudson Bay where changes in ice melt are altering their life patterns

Sprawled on rocky ground far from sea ice, a lone Canadian polar bear sits under a dazzling sun, his white fur utterly useless as camouflage. 

It’s mid-summer on the shores of Hudson Bay and life for the enormous male has been moving in slow motion, far from the prey that keeps him alive: seals.

This is a critical time for the region’s polar bears.

Every year from late June when the bay ice disappears — shrinking until it dots the blue vastness like scattered confetti — they must move onto shore to begin a period of forced fasting.

But that period is lasting longer and longer as temperatures rise — putting them in danger’s way. 

Once on solid ground, the bears “typically have very few options for food,” explains Geoff York, a biologist with Polar Bear International (PBI).

York, an American, spends several weeks each year in Churchill, a small town on the edge of the Arctic in the northern Canadian province of Manitoba. There he follows the fortunes of the endangered animals.

This is one of the best spots from which to study life on Hudson Bay, though transportation generally requires either an all-terrain vehicle adapted to the rugged tundra, or an inflatable boat for navigating the bay’s waters. 

York invited an AFP team to join him on an expedition in early August.

Near the impressively large male bear lazing in the sun is a pile of fishbones — nowhere near enough to sustain this 11-foot (3.5-meter), 1,300-pound (600-kilo) beast.

“There could be a beluga whale carcass they might be able to find, (or a) naive seal near shore, but generally they’re just fasting,” York says.

“They lose nearly a kilogram of body weight every day that they’re on land.”

Climate warming is affecting the Arctic three times as fast as other parts of the world — even four times, according to some recent studies. So sea ice, the habitat of the polar bear, is gradually disappearing.

A report published two years ago in the journal Nature Climate Change suggested that this trend could lead to the near-extinction of these majestic animals: 1,200 of them were counted on the western shores of Hudson Bay in the 1980s. Today the best estimate is 800.

– Summer scarcity –

Each summer, sea ice begins melting earlier and earlier, while the first hard freeze of winter comes later and later. Climate change thus threatens the polar bears’ very cycle of life.

They have fewer opportunities to build up their reserves of fat and calories before the period of summer scarcity.

The polar bear — technically known as the Ursus maritimus — is a meticulous carnivore that feeds principally on the white fat that envelops and insulates a seal’s body.

But these days this superpredator of the Arctic sometimes has to feed on seaweed — as a mother and her baby were seen doing not far from the port of Churchill, the self-declared “Polar Bear Capital.”

If female bears go more than 117 days without adequate food, they struggle to nurse their young, said Steve Amstrup, an American who is PBI’s lead scientist. Males, he adds, can go 180 days.

As a result, births have declined, and it has become much rarer for a female to give birth to three cubs, once a common occurrence.

It is a whole ecosystem in decline, and one that 54-year-old York — with his short hair and rectangular glasses — knows by heart after spending more than 20 years roaming the Arctic, first for the ecology organization WWF and now for PBI.

During a capture in Alaska, a bear sunk its fangs into his leg. 

Another time, while entering what he thought was an abandoned den, he came nose-to-snout with a female. York, normally a quiet man, says he “yelled as loud as I ever have in my life.”

Today, these enormous beasts live a precarious existence.

“Here in Hudson Bay, in the western and southern parts, polar bears are spending up to a month longer on shore than their parents or grandparents did,” York says.

As their physical condition declines, he says, their tolerance for risk rises, and “that might bring them into interaction with people (which) can lead to conflict instead of co-existence.”

– Patrolling the town – 

Binoculars in hand, Ian Van Nest, a provincial conservation officer, keeps an eye out through the day on the rocks surrounding Churchill, where the bears like to hide.

In this town of 800 inhabitants, which is only accessible by air and train but not by any roads, the bears have begun frequenting the local dump, a source of easy — but potentially harmful — food for them.

They could be seen ripping open trash bags, eating plastic or getting their snouts trapped in food tins amid piles of burning waste.

Since then, the town has taken precautions: The dump is now guarded by cameras, fences and patrols.

Across Churchill, people leave cars and houses unlocked in case someone needs to find urgent shelter after an unpleasant encounter with this large land-based carnivore. 

Posted on walls around town are the emergency phone numbers to reach Van Nest or his colleagues. 

When they get an urgent call, they hop in their pickup truck armed with a rifle and a spray can of repellent, wearing protective flak jackets. 

Van Nest, who is bearded and in his 30s, takes the job seriously, given the rising number of polar bears in the area.

Sometimes they can be scared off with just “the horn on your vehicle,” he tells AFP. 

But other times “we might have to get on foot and grab our shotguns and cracker shells,” which issue an explosive sound designed to frighten the animal, “and head onto the rocks and pursue that bear.”

Some areas are watched more closely than others — notably around schools as children are arriving in the morning “to ensure that the kids are going to be safe.”

There have been some close calls, like the time in 2013 when a woman was grievously injured by a bear in front of her house, before a neighbor — clad in pajamas and slippers — ran out wielding only his snow shovel to scare the animal away.

Sometimes the animals have to be sedated, then winched up by a helicopter to be transported to the north, or kept in a cage until winter, when they can again feed on the bay.

Churchill’s only “prison” is inhabited entirely by bears, a hangar whose 28 cells can fill up in the autumn as the creatures maraud in mass around town while waiting for the ice to re-form in November. 

– Planet’s air conditioning –

The fate of the polar bear should alarm everyone, says Flavio Lehner, a climate scientist at Cornell University who was part of the expedition, because the Arctic is a good “barometer” of the planet’s health.

Since the 1980s, the ice pack in the bay has decreased by nearly 50 percent in summer, according to the US National Snow and Ice Data Center.

“We see the more — the faster — changes here, because it is warming particularly fast,” says Lehner, who is Swiss.

The region is essential to the health of the global climate because the Arctic, he says, effectively provides the planet’s “air conditioning.”

“There’s this important feedback mechanism of sea ice and snow in general,” he says, with frozen areas reflecting 80 percent of the sun’s rays, providing a cooling effect.

When the Arctic loses its capacity to reflect those rays, he said, there will be consequences for temperatures around the globe.

Thus, when sea ice melts, the much darker ocean’s surface absorbs 80 percent of the sun’s rays, accelerating the warming trend.

A few years ago, scientists feared that the Arctic’s summer ice pack was rapidly reaching a climatic “tipping point” and, above a certain temperature, would disappear for good.

But more recent studies show the phenomenon could be reversible, Lehner says.

“Should we ever be able to bring temperatures down again, sea ice will come back,” he says.

That said, the impact for now is pervasive. 

“In the Arctic, climate change is impacting all species,” says Jane Waterman, a biologist at the University of Manitoba. “Every single thing is being affected by climate change.”

Permafrost — defined as land that is permanently frozen for two successive years — has begun to melt, and in Churchill the very contours of the land have shifted, damaging rail lines and the habitat of wild species. 

The entire food chain is under threat, with some non-native species, like certain foxes and wolves, appearing for the first time, endangering Arctic species. 

Nothing is safe, says Waterman, from the tiniest bacteria to enormous whales. 

– A summer refuge –

That includes the beluga whales that migrate each summer — by the tens of thousands — from Arctic waters to the refuge of the Hudson Bay. 

These small white whales are often spotted in the bay’s vast blue waters.  

Swimming in small groups, they like to follow the boats of scientists who have come to study them, seemingly taking pleasure in showing off their large round heads and spouting just feet from captivated observers.

The smallest ones, gray in color, cling to their mothers’ backs in this estuary, with its relatively warm waters, where they find protection from killer whales and plentiful nourishment.

But there has been “a shift in prey availability for beluga whales in some areas of the Arctic,” explains Valeria Vergara, an Argentine researcher who has spent her life studying the beluga.

As the ice cover shrinks, “there’s less under the surface of the ice for the phytoplankton that in turn will feed the zooplankton that in turn will feed big fish,” says Vergara, who is with the Raincoast Conservation Foundation.

The beluga has to dive deeper to find food, and that uses up precious energy.

And another danger lurks: Some climate models suggest that as early as 2030, with the ice fast melting, boats will be able to navigate the Hudson Bay year-round.

Sound pollution is a major problem for the species — known as the “canary of the seas” — whose communication depends on the clicking and whistling sounds it makes. 

The beluga depends on sound-based communication to determine its location, find its way and to locate food, Vergara says. 

Thanks to a hydrophone on the “Beluga Boat” that Vergara uses, humans can monitor the “conversations” of whales far below the surface. 

Vergara, 53, describes their communications as “very complex,” and she can distinguish between the cries made by mother whales keeping in contact with their youngsters.

To the untrained ear, the sound is a cacophony, but clearly that of an animated community. Scientists wonder, however, how much longer such communities will last?

Far from the Arctic ice one lonely beluga became lost in the waters of France’s Seine river before dying in August. And in May a polar bear meandered its way deep into Canada’s south, shocking those who discovered it along the Saint Lawrence River.

Canada's Hudson Bay a summer refuge for thousands of belugas

Some 55,000 beluga whales migrate to Canada's Hudson Bay each summer

Half a dozen beluga whales dive and reemerge around tourist paddle boards in Canada’s Hudson Bay, a handful of about 55,000 of the creatures that migrate from the Arctic to the bay’s more temperate waters each summer. 

Far from the Seine river where a beluga strayed in early August north of Paris, the estuaries that flow into the bay in northern Canada offer a sanctuary for the small white whales to give birth in relative warm and shelter. 

In the murky bay, the belugas, with small dark eyes and what look like wide smiles, seem to enjoy the presence of a cluster of tourists who travelled to the remote town of Churchill — home to some 800 people and only accessible by train or plane — to observe the cetaceans.

For more than seven months of the year, between November and June, the bay is frozen.

The thaw marks the return of the belugas to the haven, where they are protected from orcas and feed on the rich food found in the estuaries.

The gray color of the young whales stands out against the bright white adults as they glide through the water in packs, all the while communicating in their own array of sounds.

– Hydrophone –

Nicknamed “canaries of the sea” due to the 50 or so different vocalizations — whistles, clicks, chirps and squeals — they emit, belugas are “social butterflies” and “sound is the glue of that society,” said Valeria Vergara, who has been studying them for years.

“Belugas are sound-centered species, and sound to them is really like vision to us,” the researcher with the Raincoast Conservation Foundation told AFP.

Listening at the speaker of a hydrophone, the 53-year-old scientist tries to distinguish the multitude of sounds from the depths — a cacophony to the untrained ear. 

“They need to rely on sound to communicate and they also rely on sound to echolocate, to find their way… to find food,” said Vergara, who has identified “contact calls” used between members of a pod. 

Newborn belugas, which measure around 1.8 meters (six feet) long and weigh some 80 kilos (175 pounds), remain dependent on their mother for two years. 

As an adult, the mammal — which generally matures in the icy waters around Greenland and in the north of Canada, Norway and Russia — can grow to six meters long and live between 40 and 60 years.

The Hudson Bay beluga population is the largest in the world. 

But the decrease in ice due to climate change, in an area that is warming three to four times faster than the rest of the planet, is a cause for concern for researchers.

Tracing uncertainty: Google harnesses quantum mechanics at California lab

Google has around 20 quantum computers at its lab in Santa Barbara, where Dr Erik Lucero and his team are trying to forge the future of computing

Outside, balmy September sunshine warms an idyllic coast, as California basks in yet another perfect day.

Inside, it’s minus 460 Fahrenheit (-273 Celsius) in some spots, pockets of cold that bristle with the impossible physics of quantum mechanics — a science in which things can simultaneously exist, not exist and also be something in between.

This is Google’s Quantum AI laboratory, where dozens of super-smart people labor in an office kitted out with climbing walls and electric bikes to shape the next generation of computers — a generation that will be unlike anything users currently have in their pockets or offices.

“It is a new type of computer that uses quantum mechanics to do computations and allows us… to solve problems that would otherwise be impossible,” explains Erik Lucero, lead engineer at the campus near Santa Barbara.

“It’s not going to replace your mobile phone, your desktop; it’s going to be working in parallel with those things.”

Quantum mechanics is a field of research that scientists say could be used one day to help limit global warming, design city traffic systems or develop powerful new drugs.

The promises are so great that governments, tech giants and start-ups around the world are investing billions of dollars in it, employing some of the biggest brains around.

– Schrodinger’s cat –

Old fashioned computing is built on the idea of binary certainty: tens of thousands of “bits” of data that are each definitely either “on” or “off,” represented by either a one or a zero.

Quantum computing uses uncertainty: its “qubits” can exist in a state of both one-ness and zero-ness in what is called a superposition.

The most famous illustration of a quantum superposition is Schrodinger’s cat — a hypothetical animal locked in a box with a flask of poison which may or may not shatter.

While the box is shut, the cat is simultaneously alive and dead. But once you interfere with the quantum state and open the box, the question of the cat’s life or death is resolved.

Quantum computers use this uncertainty to perform lots of seemingly contradictory calculations at the same time — a bit like being able to go down every possible route in a maze all at once, instead of trying each one in series until you find the right path.

The difficulty for quantum computer designers is getting these qubits to maintain their superposition long enough to make a calculation. 

As soon as something interferes with them — noise, muck, the wrong temperature — the superposition collapses, and you’re left with a random and likely nonsensical answer. 

The quantum computer Google showed off to journalists resembles a steampunk wedding cake hung upside-down from a support structure.

Each layer of metal and curved wires gets progressively colder, down to the final stage, where the palm-sized processor is cooled to just 10 Millikelvin, or about -460 Fahrenheit (-273 Celsius).

That temperature — only a shade above absolute zero, the lowest temperature possible in the universe — is vital for the superconductivity Google’s design relies on.

While the layer-cake computer is not huge — about half a person high — a decent amount of lab space is taken up with the equipment to cool it — pipes whoosh overhead with helium dilutions compressing and expanding, using the same process that keeps your refrigerator cold.

– Future –

But… what does it all actually do?

Well, says Daniel Lidar, an expert in quantum systems at the University of Southern California, it’s a field that promises much when it matures, but which is still a toddler.

“We’ve learned how to crawl but we’ve certainly not yet learned how to how to walk or jump or run,” he told AFP.

The key to its growth will be solving the problem of the superpositional collapses — the opening of the cat’s box — to allow for meaningful calculations.

As this process of error correction improves, problems such as city traffic optimization, which is fiendishly hard on a classical computer because of the number of independent variables involved — the cars themselves — could come within reach, said Lidar.

“On (an error-corrected) quantum computer, you could solve that problem,” he said.

For Lucero and his colleagues, these future possibilities are worth the brain ache.

“Quantum mechanics is one of the best theories that we have today to experience nature. This is a computer that speaks the language of nature.

“And if we want to go out and figure out these really challenging problems, to help save our planet, and things like climate change, than having a computer that can do exactly that, I’d want that.”

Hurricane Ian pounds Florida as a monster storm

Gusts from Hurricane Ian whip palm treets in Punta Gorda, Florida

Hurricane Ian plunged much of coastal southwest Florida into darkness Wednesday, as the monster storm brought “catastrophic” storm surges, wind and flooding that had officials readying a huge emergency response.

The US Border Patrol said 20 migrants were missing after their boat sank, with four Cubans swimming to shore in the Florida Keys islands and three rescued at sea by the coast guard.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said the eye of the “extremely dangerous” hurricane made landfall just after 3:00 pm (1900 GMT) on the barrier island of Cayo Costa, west of the city of Fort Myers.

Dramatic television footage from the coastal city of Naples showed floodwaters surging into beachfront homes, submerging roads and sweeping away vehicles.

Some neighborhoods in Fort Myers, which has a population of more than 80,000, resembled lakes.

The NHC said Ian was packing maximum sustained winds of 150 miles (240 kilometers) per hour when it landed. 

It later weakened slightly to a Category 3 hurricane with winds of 105 miles per hour, while still battering Florida with “catastrophic storm surge, winds and flooding,” the NHC said at around 9:00 pm local time (0100 GMT).

Almost two million customers were without electricity in Florida Wednesday evening out of a total of more than 11 million, with southwestern areas of the state the hardest hit, according to the PowerOutage.us tracking website.

Ian is set to affect several million people across Florida and in the southeastern states of Georgia and South Carolina.

As hurricane conditions spread, forecasters warned of a once-in-a-generation calamity.

“This is going to be a storm we talk about for many years to come,” said National Weather Service director Ken Graham. “It’s a historic event.”

Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis said the state was going to experience a “nasty, nasty day, two days.”

– ‘Life-threatening’ –

The town of Punta Gorda, north of Fort Myers, was in near-total darkness as the storm wiped out power, save for the lucky few buildings with generators.

Howling winds ripped branches off trees and pulled chunks out of the roofs.

Some 2.5 million people were under mandatory evacuation orders in a dozen coastal Florida counties, with several dozen shelters set up, and voluntary evacuation recommended in others.

For those who decided to ride out the storm, authorities stressed it was too late to flee and residents should hunker down and stay indoors.

Airports in Tampa and Orlando stopped all commercial flights, and cruise ship companies delayed departures or canceled voyages.

With up to 30 inches (76 centimeters) of rain expected to fall on parts of the so-called Sunshine State, and a storm surge that could reach devastating levels of 12 to 18 feet (3.6 to 5.5 meters), authorities were warning of dire emergency conditions.

“This is a life-threatening situation,” the NHC warned.

The storm was set to move across central Florida before emerging in the Atlantic Ocean by late Thursday.

– ‘Nothing is left here’ –

Ian a day earlier had plunged all of Cuba into darkness after battering the country’s west as a Category 3 storm and downing the island’s power network.

“Desolation and destruction. These are terrifying hours. Nothing is left here,” a 70-year-old resident of the western city of Pinar del Rio was quoted as saying in a social media post by his journalist son, Lazaro Manuel Alonso.

At least two people died in Pinar del Rio province, Cuban state media reported.

In the United States, the Pentagon said 3,200 national guard personnel were called up in Florida, with another 1,800 on the way.

DeSantis said state and federal responders were assigning thousands of personnel to address the storm response.

“There will be thousands of Floridians who will need help rebuilding,” he said.

As climate change warms the ocean’s surface, the number of powerful tropical storms, or cyclones, with stronger winds and more precipitation is likely to increase.

The total number of cyclones, however, may not.

According to Gary Lackmann, a professor of atmospheric science at North Carolina State University, studies have also detected a potential link between climate change and rapid intensification — when a relatively weak tropical storm surges to a Category 3 hurricane or higher in a 24-hour period, as happened with Ian.

“There remains a consensus that there will be fewer storms, but that the strongest will get stronger,” Lackmann told AFP.

Indigenous Brazilians hope to turn page on Bolsonaro

Indigenous Brazilians say President Jair Bolsonaro's policies have been disastrous for native peoples and the environment

Four years after President Jair Bolsonaro came to office vowing not to allow “one more centimeter” of protected Indigenous reservations in Brazil, native peoples accuse him of violent, environmentally harmful policies that have been disastrous for them and their land.

With the far-right president fighting for re-election Sunday — trailing in the polls to leftist ex-president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (2003-2010) — a record 171 Indigenous candidates are running for state or federal office, vying to turn the page on what they say have been four catastrophic years for Brazil’s native peoples.

AFP spoke to Indigenous candidates and leaders across Brazil about what is at stake in the elections.

– Stop the ‘genocide’ –

To Congressional candidate Sonia Guajajara, Bolsonaro’s time in office has been nothing short of “institutionalized genocide.”

The prominent Indigenous leader, who was named to Time magazine’s list of the world’s 100 most influential people in May, cites as evidence the president’s push to legalize mining on Indigenous reservations and his vocal support for wildcat gold miners — a group accused of invading native lands, raping and killing inhabitants, and poisoning their water with mercury.

“The four years of Bolsonaro’s government have been a true tragedy and an institutionalized genocide for Indigenous peoples,” says Guajajara, 48, who is running to become the first Indigenous woman to represent Sao Paulo in Congress.

Wearing a bright feather headdress and shaking a calabash rattle at a rally, the combative, charismatic Amazon rainforest native, who left home as a girl to get a university education, leads the crowd in chanting, “Get out, Bolsonaro!”

Guajajara, the leader of the Association of Brazil’s Indigenous Peoples (APIB), says she will demand that Lula — who has promised to create a ministry of Indigenous affairs — resume protecting native lands if elected.

“We want to rebuild all the pro-Indigenous policies the Bolsonaro government dismantled,” she says.

– ‘Sadness for our forest’ –

Fresh off filming a documentary for National Geographic, 22-year-old Indigenous leader Bitate Uru-Eu-Wau-Wau is fighting on two fronts.

At home, the young chief organizes patrols to stop illegal loggers and land-grabbers from invading the reservation in the southern Amazon that is home to his people, a tribe of some 200 hunter-gatherers — the subject of the film “The Territory,” released last month.

In his interactions with the world beyond, Bitate raises awareness about the plundering of the Uru-Eu-Wau-Wau’s land and Bolsonaro’s “anti-Indigenous government.”

“We’re very afraid, we’ve been receiving lots of threats — messages saying, ‘We’re coming for you, we’re going to kill all the children in the village,'” he says.

Invasions of their land are increasing, he says, and the authorities are slow to respond — especially Indigenous affairs agency FUNAI, which critics accuse Bolsonaro of gutting.

“The government has fired (FUNAI) officials, stopped them from doing their jobs…. FUNAI is finished. It’s been completely torn apart,” he says.

“We’re going through a time of very great sadness for our forest, which is being cut down and burned…. I’m not saying Lula would be great, but he would be better than Bolsonaro.”

– ‘Voice in Congress’ –

Greeting supporters with a giant smile and infectious laugh, Vanda Witoto marches through the street at the head of an energetic parade with a mission: elect the first-ever Indigenous representative from Amazonas, the state with the biggest share of Brazil’s 900,000 Indigenous people.

The 35-year-old Congressional candidate says she decided to run for office after watching the Bolsonaro administration’s chaotic response to the coronavirus pandemic, which hit Indigenous communities hard.

The nurse technician has told the story of how she struggled to care for patients amid the collapse of the public health services in state capital Manaus, where horrific scenes of Covid-19 victims suffocating to death without oxygen played out at the height of the pandemic.

The experience convinced her of “the importance of us (Indigenous peoples) having a voice in Congress to defend our land, our peoples’ lives, our rights,” she says.

“It’s so important, not only for Indigenous peoples but for the Amazon. We want to be in Congress.”

High stakes for climate-change race in Brazil vote

Recent research shows the Amazon rainforest, a key buffer against global warming, is in fragile health — a major issue in Brazil and beyond as the South American country elects its next president

The image would indelibly mark President Jair Bolsonaro’s term: the sky over Sao Paulo turning dark at 3:00 pm as smoke from fires in the Amazon rainforest engulfed Brazil’s biggest city.

The black haze that traveled thousands of kilometers to the economic capital that day — August 19, 2019, just under nine months into Bolsonaro’s term — drew global attention to the accelerating destruction of the Amazon under the far-right president, whose environmental record is under new scrutiny as Brazil holds elections Sunday.

Climate scientists and environmentalists say the stakes for the planet are potentially huge in the divisive race, which pits Bolsonaro against leftist ex-president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (2003-2010).

Three years after the fires that sparked worldwide outcry, Bolsonaro’s record on protecting the Amazon and its Indigenous inhabitants has only gone from bad to worse, activists say.

Under the former army captain, average annual deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has risen by 75 percent compared to the previous decade, as the government has slashed environmental funding by 71 percent from its high in 2014.

Along the way, Bolsonaro has fired or sidelined government officials who pushed back against his environmental policies, attacked foreign critics with nationalist rhetoric about Brazilian sovereignty over “our Amazon,” and played to his hardline base and backers in the powerful agribusiness industry with calls to make the rainforest an engine of economic development.

While Lula’s own environmental record is hardly spotless, activists say there is no comparison between the two.

“We’re facing a radical choice: decide whether the Amazon lives or gets a death sentence with Bolsonaro’s reelection,” said Marcio Astrini, head of the Climate Observatory, a coalition of environmental groups.

“This is the most important election in Brazilian history.”

– ‘Not a good thing’ –

Environmental issues have taken a back seat to economic and social ones in the campaign.

But with the world scrambling to hold global warming to a livable limit, the issue matters beyond Brazil. 

The Amazon basin, 60 percent of which is in Brazil, is looking fragile.

Research shows the world’s biggest rainforest, which until recently helped soak up humanity’s soaring carbon emissions, is now strained to the point it has started releasing more carbon than it absorbs.

A hemisphere away, US climate scientist Scott Denning says he doesn’t follow Brazilian politics, but is closely watching what happens in the Amazon, whose CO2 emissions doubled in Bolsonaro’s first two years — reaching the equivalent of five percent of global fossil-fuel emissions.

“Four more years like that, and that’s quite a lot of CO2. That’s not a good thing,” said Denning, an atmospheric scientist at Colorado State University.

“The Amazon is this humongous living carbon sponge. But now we’re cutting and burning the trees faster than they can regrow.”

The timing is terrible, he noted.

“The rest of the world is scrambling to cut our fossil-fuel emissions… and Bolsonaro is pulling in the opposite direction.”

– Lula’s imperfect record –

In a statement, Bolsonaro’s campaign defended his record on the Amazon as “balancing environmental protection with economic growth.”

Lula, who leads in the polls, has himself faced criticism for his environmental record, which notably included the controversial decision to build the massive Belo Monte hydroelectric dam in the Amazon.

In Lula’s first year in office, deforestation reached 27,772 square kilometers (10,723 square miles) in the Brazilian Amazon — the second-worst year on record, and far higher than the 13,038 square kilometers under Bolsonaro last year.

However, by the end of his term, Lula’s government had slashed deforestation by 75 percent, to historic lows.

Under Bolsonaro, it has sharply increased.

Lula got a key endorsement two weeks ago when respected former environment minister Marina Silva — who quit his government in disgust in 2008 over the leftist’s Amazon policies — announced she was backing him.

The environment “isn’t exactly close to Lula’s heart,” says veteran activist Claudio Angelo, who worked on Silva’s unsuccessful 2018 presidential campaign.

But Lula’s camp knows it has the upper hand on the issue.

The ex-metal worker has vowed to go “even further” than Brazil’s emission-cutting targets under the 2015 Paris Accord, revive the internationally backed, $1.3-billion Amazon Fund to protect the rainforest — suspended under Bolsonaro — and work to achieve net-zero deforestation.

Australia's largest carbon emitter to exit coal by 2035

Australia's biggest carbon emitter will close one of the country's most polluting coal-fired power stations by mid-2035

Australia’s biggest carbon emitter AGL announced Thursday it will close one of the country’s most polluting coal-fired power stations by mid-2035, a decade earlier than previously targeted.

The closure of the Loy Yang A Power Station in the eastern state of Victoria’s Latrobe Valley will complete AGL’s exit from all coal-fired energy generation, the group said.

“This represents one of the most significant decarbonisation initiatives in Australia,” said the energy group’s chair, Patricia McKenzie.

Once AGL closed its coal-fired power stations, the company would be net zero for direct and indirect carbon emissions, McKenzie said.

AGL said its largest coal-fired power station Bayswater, in New South Wales, remains on track to close before 2033.

The group’s incoming interim chief executive, Damien Hick, said the closures were “a major step forward in Australia’s decarbonisation journey”.

Operations at AGL, Australia’s largest energy company, have been under intense pressure in the past year, with green groups and shareholder activists pushing for a faster transition away from coal.

Billionaire green activist Mike Cannon-Brookes tried to buy the company for about US$6 billion — an offer AGL rejected in March, saying it was “well below the fair value of the company”.

Two months later, AGL abruptly announced the departure of its chairman Peter Botten, chief executive Graeme Hunt and a string of board members.

It also scrapped a long-planned move to spin off its lucrative but highly-polluting coal business, a “demerger” strongly criticised by Cannon-Brookes and Greenpeace.

McKenzie framed the decision to sprint to net zero emissions as sound business that would enable the firm to “access a wider pool of capital and attract new investors”.

“We have listened to our stakeholders – in particular, our shareholders, as well as government and energy regulatory authorities,” she said.

“Their views were an important consideration as we reviewed the company’s strategic direction after withdrawing the demerger proposal.”

Hurricane Ian pounds Florida as monster Category 4 storm

Gusts from Hurricane Ian whip palm treets in Punta Gorda, Florida

Hurricane Ian slammed into the coast of southwest Florida as a monster Category 4 storm on Wednesday bringing “catastrophic” storm surges, wind and flooding as officials readied a huge emergency response.

The US Border Patrol said 20 migrants were missing after their boat sank, with four Cubans swimming to shore in the Florida Keys islands and three rescued at sea by the coast guard.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said the eye of the “extremely dangerous” hurricane made landfall just after 3:00 pm (1900 GMT) on the barrier island of Cayo Costa, west of the city of Fort Myers.

Dramatic television footage from the coastal city of Naples showed floodwaters surging into beachfront homes, submerging roads and sweeping away vehicles.

Some neighborhoods in Fort Myers, which has a population of more than 80,000, resembled lakes.

The NHC said Ian was packing maximum sustained winds of 150 miles (240 kilometers) per hour when it landed, “battering the Florida peninsula with catastrophic” conditions. 

Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis said that there were more than 1.1 million reported power outages in the state and that the figure is expected to grow.

In the three counties where the hurricane first hit, almost all power was down.

Ian is set to impact several million people across Florida and in the southeastern states of Georgia and South Carolina.

As hurricane conditions spread, forecasters warned of a once-in-a-generation calamity.

“This is going to be a storm we talk about for many years to come,” said National Weather Service director Ken Graham. “It’s a historic event.”

DeSantis said the state was going to experience a “nasty, nasty day, two days.”

– ‘Life-threatening’ –

In Punta Gorda, north of Fort Myers, streets emptied as howling winds ripped fronds off palm trees and shook electricity poles.

Some 2.5 million people were under mandatory evacuation orders in a dozen coastal Florida counties, with several dozen shelters set up, and voluntary evacuation recommended in others.

For those who decided to ride out the storm, authorities stressed it was too late to flee and residents should hunker down and stay indoors.

Airports in Tampa and Orlando stopped all commercial flights and cruise ship companies delayed departures or canceled voyages.

With up to two feet (61 centimeters) of rain expected to fall on parts of the so-called Sunshine State, and a storm surge that could reach devastating levels of 12 to 18 feet (3.6 to 5.5 meters), authorities were warning of dire emergency conditions.

“This is a life-threatening situation,” the NHC warned.

The storm was set to move across central Florida before emerging in the Atlantic Ocean by late Thursday.

– ‘Nothing is left here’ –

Ian a day earlier had plunged all of Cuba into darkness after battering the country’s west as a Category 3 storm and downing the island’s power network.

“Desolation and destruction. These are terrifying hours. Nothing is left here,” a 70-year-old resident of the western city of Pinar del Rio was quoted as saying in a social media post by his journalist son, Lazaro Manuel Alonso.

At least two people died in Pinar del Rio province, Cuban state media reported.

In the United States, the Pentagon said 3,200 national guardsmen were called up in Florida, with another 1,800 on the way.

DeSantis said state and federal responders were assigning thousands of personnel to address the storm response.

“There will be thousands of Floridians who will need help rebuilding,” he said.

As climate change warms the ocean’s surface, the number of powerful tropical storms, or cyclones, with stronger winds and more precipitation is likely to increase.

The total number of cyclones, however, may not.

According to Gary Lackmann, a professor of atmospheric science at North Carolina State University, studies have also detected a potential link between climate change and rapid intensification — when a relatively weak tropical storm surges to a Category 3 hurricane or higher in a 24-hour period, as happened with Ian.

“There remains a consensus that there will be fewer storms, but that the strongest will get stronger,” Lackmann told AFP.

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